Here, again, is the first paragraph of my original comment:
Many women don't fear actual trans women; they fear pretend trans women. The real trans women are unfortunate "collateral damage" in protecting women from cis predators in skirts. Whether that trade-off is sound policy is a separate question from whether the "potential illegal behavior" of real trans women is the basis for the laws.
That paragraph says (i) that the fear of pretenders is real, not that it is justified, and (ii) that the trade-off it creates may not be sound policy. Which of those two things do you disagree with?
I have also said that I am not persuaded by the data, but that's really hear nor there, because I am not claiming that the conclusions based on the data are necessarily wrong, either.